Cristobal is here bringing rain and we have something interesting to watch down the road. What is it? A whole lot of nothing!
Tuesday morning, the rain from Cristobal exits the state with strong southwest winds developing ahead of a front. That may push temperatures into the low to mid 90s with TONS of humidity. Heat index readings could reach 105° in spots and that's heat advisory criteria. A few storms will develop along the front late Tuesday and they could be strong. I wouldn't be surprised to see a severe storm or two. MUCH cooler and drier air moves into the state for the rest of the week.
The long range looks DRY! This could turn into one of the driest stretches of weather all year. I just hope it's not the first signs of a drought. NOAA doesn't think so and I'll show that to you below.
The Euro Ensemble from weatherbell.com showing 15 day precipitation anomalies. The green from Alabama to Arkansas is Cristobal. That's the ONLY meaningful rainfall over the next 15 days according to this model. It's going to dry out.
6-10 day rain outlook shows a high chance for below average rainfall.
8-14 day outlook shows the same
NOAA drought monitor shows no chance for drought conditions developing this month. However, look at Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas. NOAA shows drought development likely. Let's hope it doesn't spread into the rest of the summer. We don't want flooding rains, but moisture every now and then is needed.