Todd Yakoubian
Weather Outlook For The April 2024 Total Solar Eclipse

It's not a stretch to say more people will be in Arkansas at this moment in time compared to any moment in our state's history. The total solar eclipse will bring tourists from around the world to the Natural State. Now, all we need is for the weather to cooperate.
The path of totality goes directly over central, northern, and western Arkansas.

While a specific forecast is absolutely impossible to predict until we're within a few days, we can look at potential patterns and what they bring to the region on a seasonal basis.
We're going into an El Nino right now. How long it lasts is very difficult to say, but we can look at expert outlooks and use them against the normal values for this time of the year.
First of all, April is the wettest month of the entire year according to the 30 year average 1991-2020.

The Climate Prediction Center seasonal outlook for March, April, and May 2024 (meteorological spring) does indicate precipitation anomalies will be positive for much of the state, especially eastern Arkansas. That just means a better than average chance for above normal rainfall. However, that does NOT mean it will rain or be cloudy on April 8th, 2024. Will this be evenly distributed between the 3 month or be focused on one or two specific months? It's just impossible to say at this point.
