More Heat and The Tropics
Sweat-Tember turns into Hot-Tober. Yes, we'll have some rain over the next couple days and that's important to the temperature forecast late this week into the beginning of October. If there's soil moisture, it won't be quite as hot as the models indicate, but it will still be well above average.
A massive ridge of high pressure will build over central and eastern United States late this week into the beginning of October. This should send temperatures back into the 90s. Record highs? We need to go back to 1953 and see daily highs were close to 100 in late September. I don't think we'll break that, but once again, it will be unseasonably warm. Watch the beginning of October. Those daily record highs are more likely to be challenged
SEPTEMBER 29TH... 101° (1953)
SEPTEMBER 30TH... 99° (1953)
OCTOBER 1ST... 94° (1953) this COULD be challenged
OCTOBER 2ND... 92° (1953) this COULD be challenged
OCTOBER 3RD... 96° (1953) this COULD be challenged
OCTOBER 4TH... 92° (2002) this COULD be challenged
Also, let's watch the tropics. Karen is out in the Atlantic and struggling to remain a tropical storm. However, there is guidance suggesting Karen moves north, turns west, develops into a formidable tropical entity, and moves into the Gulf of Mexico. While that's possible, there are other scenarios which Karen does not threaten the U.S. However, with a sprawling ridge of high pressure over the central and eastern United States, this must be watched!