Spring To Winter in 1 Day
Heavy rain and storms will still be likely late Friday into Saturday. The main threats appear to be heavy rainfall, damaging winds, and a few tornadoes. The main threat for tornadoes and damaging winds will be across southern Arkansas. This can still change depending upon the track of the low.
Also, if temperatures don't warm up Friday, that will help temper the severe weather threat. Not eliminate it, but decrease it a bit.
Key points
-Showers arrive Thursday NW 1/2 and will be breezy
-Showers continue Friday for most of the state and it will be breezy
-Rain and storms increase after sunset Friday. This is the main round.
-High winds and tornadoes will be the main threat south depending on instability and track of the low. An even higher threat for severe storms will be found across east Texas into Louisiana. I expect a tornado watch to be issued.
-A flash flood watch will likely be needed with widespread 2-4''+. Dormant vegetation plus and clogged storm drains could enhance run off.
-The main threat for the western half of the state will be 7PM Friday to 1AM Saturday. The main threat for the eastern half of the state will be 1AM to 6AM Saturday. Have a way to receive warnings.
-Cold air will our into NW Arkansas and a change to snow will be possible with minimal amounts in the Ozarks.
All of this is subject to change depending upon new data. Maps below.
