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  • Writer's pictureTodd Yakoubian

September to Remember. An October to Grow Cooler

The weather pendulum is about to swing! Record highs will be challenged Tuesday October 1st and Wednesday October 2nd.

With 1 more day to go this month, this will be a September to remember! Based on our forecast Monday, here are the preliminary September results for Little Rock...

Average high temperature: 5th hottest on record

Average low temperature: 2nd hottest on record

Average monthly temperature: 2nd hottest on record

Daily record high Tuesday is 94° in 1953

Daily record high Wednesday is 92° in 1953

As we have indicated for quite a long time now in our 10 day forecast (7 plus), there's the potential for a late week cool down. At this time, I don't think it's going to knockout the heat initially. Don't misunderstand me, it will be cooler and you should notice it at night with lows dropping well into the 50s and 60s across the state. There might be another cold front taking temperatures down more next Sunday and Monday.

The following are ONLY computer models and NOT forecasts. Both courtesy of WeatherBell.

The Euro has highs well into the 90s through Thursday, then the cooler air arriving Friday. It's worth noting that's STILL above average! Look at the lows dropping into the 60s. That will be nice. The cooler air is more significant by the following Monday and Tuesday IF this model is correct. Remember, the further out on these models, they become more unreliable. In other words, don't take these numbers literally and as a forecast. It's only a model.

The GFS has a known cold bias in the long range. Let's take a look. It's hot through Thursday, then a bigger cool down Friday. Once again, it has a cold bias. Notice a spike in the temperature ahead of the next front Sunday, then another cool down.

There's no doubt the heat will rule this week. However, there is light at the end of the tunnel. The heat will not be knocked out initially, but there will be a dent. There's the potential for more cool air to move southward as we go deeper into October which is typical! Bring on fall!

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