Todd Yakoubian
Not A Typical Early Summer Forecast

2 fronts within 7 days! The first arrives today (Monday) with a huge change in airmass.
Near record lows possible, especially Wednesday morning. The heat and humidity will make an impressive return Thursday, but that's just setting the stage for another cold front this weekend.
With rain and storms expected this weekend, it's very important to stay weather aware. If you're going to the lake, swimming, camping, hiking, etc, you need a way to keep up with the newest information. While it's too early to speculate about severe weather, lightning is always a threat.
Let's get into the data this Monday morning with the possible records.
TUESDAY MORNING
NAM 58°
GFS 60°
Record low 54° in 1992
WEDNESDAY MORNING
NAM 61°
GFS 60°
Record low 57° in 1902
The 2nd front arrives late this week, Friday into Saturday. This may get stuck in the state for awhile increasing the risk for very heavy rainfall.
7 day rainfall amounts

What about July? There's a decent chance temperatures will be near or slightly below average through at least the first half of the month. That doesn't mean it can't get hot. It will, but extreme heat is unlikely. I define extreme heat as 100 degrees or higher.
8 to 14 day temperature outlook through July 4th has a high chance for below average temperatures.

July 3 through July 16 has a decent chance for the near normal to below average temperatures, especially along the Gulf coast states. The horrible heat will likely stay out west.
