If We Reach 100°, It Will Likely Be...
No question it has been a mild summer with mostly below average temperatures and now a round of needed rainfall (Wednesday) for many locations around Arkansas. If you have been a regular reader of the Arkansas Weather Blog, you know 3 conditions must be in place for triple digit heat.
Strong ridge of high pressure
A dry ground
Our ground has dried out, but not to the point it needs to for 100° heat. The widespread rain today and the potential later next week may make a serious dent in the chances to reach 100°.
I say this with extreme caution. It does not take long for the ground to dry out in the summer. If we reach 100, it would likely be mid to late August. The latest 1st 100° day is September 6th, 1922.
As you know, if we don't hit 100° this summer, it will be the 1st time we've had back-to-back summers without reaching the century mark since 1967-1968.
Since 2013, we have had very few 100° days. We average 7 per yer, but haven't reached that in 8 years. Gosh, 2010, 2011, and 2012 were terrible. Summer heat has been kept in check since then.