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  • Writer's pictureTodd Yakoubian

Barry Visits Arkansas

Heavy rain will increase Sunday with flash flooding and some river flooding very possible.

Not much has changed except a slight westward shift of the track. If you have been watching Channel 7 or reading the blog, you know what that means. The heavy rain threat will expand to include more of the state. There are several points I want to make in this post.

- Scattered showers and storms will develop this afternoon. NOT everyone sees rain today. The main threats will be locally heavy downpours and lightning. The rain will move in an odd direction from east to west. That's due to the counterclockwise circulation around Barry.

-There should be a lull tonight into early Sunday.

-Rain will increase from south to north Sunday with the focus for the heaviest rain over eastern and portions of central Arkansas. Winds will be strong. Combined with a saturated ground, a few trees could come down.

-WATCH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING! As the center of Barry moves over the state at night, rainfall rates may dramatically increase very close to the center. This doesn't happen with all remnant tropical lows, but it can happen. Flash flooding is always dangerous, especially at night. That's when most flash flooding fatalities occur. I'm not saying this scenario will play out, but it's definitely possible.

-Isolated and brief tornadoes will be possible Sunday and Monday, especially during the the heating of the day. This is a low threat. Our National Weather Service office does a fantastic job of issuing these warnings and dropping them as the threat ends for a particular storm. If a warning is issued, it's doubtful the warning will last long.

- The rain continues Monday and ends Tuesday

- A strong ridge of high pressure builds in late next week. Due to a wet ground, temperatures will likely not hit 100°, BUT the heat index could be outrageous and heat advisories might be needed.


Barry's track as of Saturday morning. Remember, areas surrounding and east will have the highest chance for heavy rain and a low threat for isolated, brief tornadoes. The center will start to move across the state Sunday night into Monday morning. Let's watch areas around the center at that time for excessive rain.

Flash flood watch goes into effect Sunday into Monday for the eastern half of the state including the metro.

The main threat will be flooding. The tornado threat low. Gusty winds could knock down a few trees due to the saturated ground. Also, lightning is a threat with any storm which develops Saturday.

The Euro rain amounts. NOT A FORECAST!

GFS rain amounts. NOT A FORECAST!

This is our forecast as of Saturday morning. There could be isolated higher amounts central and east. This can still change depending upon the speed of the system and the exact track.

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