Starting no earlier than 2024, the National Weather Service will no longer issue an advisory. This includes heat, winter, etc.
How will heat index temperatures at or above 105° and the danger associated with it be communicated? Special weather statement or warning? We just don't know yet.
As you know, I'm a BIG fan of "less is more". Simplify! I applaud their thinking, but think they may have missed the mark a bit here. When it comes to advisories, we get them in Arkansas. We understand them. I have never heard anyone confused over a winter weather advisory, a wind advisory, and especially a heat advisory.
Again, this will not happen until at least 2024. I sincerely hope the National Weather Service leadership at the national level will change their mind.
A prolonged period of dangerous heat is likely. This has the potential to put July 2022 and the summer of 2022 in the record books.
Once again, this is one of those posts where I think to myself, "where do I start?"
Maybe just bullet points of everything running through my head this morning
This heat and drought will have significant impacts to our health, agriculture, and livestock.
Drought conditions will rapidly worsen
Temperatures will challenge record highs, but probably fall just short. It would not be surprising to see air temperatures get close to 110°, especially across western Arkansas
This will last at least 7 days with very little signs of relief in the longer range.
I'm very concerned about winds picking up, especially during the afternoon hours. If this happens, the wildfire danger will skyrocket
Air quality will likely be degraded as pollutants become trapped near the surface within this strong ridge. If wildfires get going, that will only worsen air quality.
Energy demand will soar and we'll feel this when our bills arrive
As of July 17th, we're already outpacing July 2012. By average high temperature, it's the 6th hottest on record and will move up the list
As of July 17th, the summer of 2022 is already the 12th hottest on record by average temperature
We've already had eight 100° days this summer and that could easily double by the end of the month. We're still not even close to the historic summers of 1954, 1980, and 2012.
We have gotten away with some of the best summers over the past 10 years. We've had rainfall and very little extreme heat. Our farmers are hurting and will be hurting even more as this heat wave gets cranked up.
Best advice I have for you... stay hydrated, check on the elderly, bring pets inside, and stay cool. We get heat waves in Arkansas and we'll make it through this. I just want you to stay safe and our farmers to get some relief. I'll keep you updated.
Here we go! A blast of heat and humidity is right around the corner. Unlike the heat in May, this will stick around. How long? Tough to say, but it could go through the end of June. It starts next week and with plenty of moisture in the ground, heat index temperatures could get close to advisory criteria. Nothing unusual for this time of year, but we all dread it. Well, many of us dread it.
Next week, the ridge begins to build in pushing the storm track to the north.
June 20th, the ridge is centered right on top of us. All storm systems pass well to our north with a lid on any thunderstorm development. The only hope for moisture in this pattern would have to come from the tropics.
10 to 15 day temperature anomaly. Well above average temperatures likely underneath that ridge with the hottest temperatures over areas which have drought conditions.
Monday, June 15th - The chance for at least 90° temperatures are very high for much of the state except the northern mountains.
Monday, June 20th - The chance for at least 100° still low up to this point with the greatest chance over Texas and Oklahoma
It will feel like at least 100 degrees next week with heat index values getting close to advisory criteria. Monday June 13th below. You have been warned.